BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Dakota St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 69 Overall: (4-0) Overall Strength = 151.91
Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (1-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-0)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-29-2026 Home W * 160.52 33 7 1A 110 (2-2) Jacksonville St 9.85 9.99 16.15
2 09-05-2026 Home W 159.82 38 0 1B 21 (1-3) Fordham 9.15 * 35.14 28.85
3 09-12-2026 Away W * * 143.30 38 32 1A 102 (1-1) Air Force -7.37 11.47 13.37
4 09-19-2026 Away W * 139.03 31 10 1A 137 (1-3) Sacramento St -11.64 * 38.58 32.64
5 10/03/2026 Home * * 1A 135 (1-2) Wyoming 33.21
6 10/10/2026 Away * * 1A 121 (1-2) UNLV 19.89
7 10/17/2026 Home * * 1A 129 (1-2) Nevada 28.80
8 10/24/2026 Away * * 1A 36 (2-1) New Mexico -14.42
9 10/31/2026 Home * * 1A 122 (1-2) UTEP 26.34
10 11/14/2026 Away * * 1A 128 (1-2) Hawaii 21.86
11 11/21/2026 Home * * 1A 116 (0-3) Northern Illinois 21.43
12 11/27/2026 Away * * 1A 131 (2-2) San Jose St 23.55
Averages 150.67 35.0 12.2
Best game: 160.52 = 26 point win over Jacksonville St
Worst game: 139.03 = 21 point win over Sacramento St
Team stdev: 11.11